📈 Professional Sports Analytics · Consumer-First · AI-Powered

Better Bettor

Advanced ML and AI products for consumers who want an edge against an increasingly analytical house.

The Market
$16.96B
US Revenue 2025
22.8%
YoY Growth
The Product
$25/mo
Single Sport
98K+
Target Users

A Two-Fold Problem

Sports analytics are not designed for consumers — and returns for gambling are bad.

-5%
Average ROI for sportsbook sports betting

-8%
Average ROI for prediction markets sports betting

Markets thrive on low-information gambling. The house has a massive analytical advantage over consumers.

Not Aimed at Consumers

Current analytics target leagues, teams, and gambling companies — not individual bettors. B2B focus with enterprise-grade pricing and complexity.


Aimed at High-Skilled Users

Existing B2C tools require Python/R expertise, statistical knowledge, and DIY model building. Academic exercises, not actionable insights.

Analytics for Consumers

Professional-grade models, consumer-friendly delivery. Giving consumers what sportsbooks have.

In-House Models

Proprietary AI/ML models developed internally — not aggregated picks or expert opinions.

Specific Outputs

Spread and Total Points predictions — not abstract metrics like WAR or RAPM.

Zero Expertise Required

No statistical or mathematical knowledge needed. Designed for ease of use.

1:1 Model to Expectation

Direct, understandable outputs. What you see is what the model predicts.

Consumer UI/UX

Clean, intuitive interface designed for quick information access — not cluttered dashboards.

Three Simple Steps

From sign-up to smarter bets in minutes.

1

Pick Your Sport

Choose a single sport for $25/mo or get the All-Access Pass for $100/mo covering every sport.

2

View Predictions

See spread and total points predictions alongside Vegas lines. Compare the Elo model (free) with the AI/ML model (premium).

3

Make Smarter Bets

Use the edge between our predictions and the market to identify value. Bet with confidence, not gut instinct.

Product Offering

Dual-model approach with clear value progression.

🎲

Free — Elo Model

Popularized by FiveThirtyEight. Easy to calculate and transparent. Provides understandable predictions that build trust with new users.

🤖

Premium — AI/ML Model

Advanced machine learning models with higher accuracy. Continuously trained on historical data, team metrics, and situational factors.

🖼️
Product screenshot — prediction comparison view
images/product-screenshot.png

Pricing

Single Sport
Perfect for focused bettors
$25
per month

The First Public Bet

A tale in three parts — from prediction to payout.

🖼️
images/case-prediction.png

1. Better Bettor Prediction

Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan — ML model predicted BGSU -7.6 spread vs Vegas -3.5. Total points: 148 vs Vegas 141.5.

🖼️
images/case-betslip.png

2. Bet Placed by a Third Party

$1,000 wager on a 2-bet parlay: Over 142.5 total points + Bowling Green -3.5. Potential payout: $3,200.

🖼️
images/case-result.png

3. Outcome: A Big Win

Final score: Bowling Green 77, Eastern Michigan 69. Total: 146. Both legs hit — a $3,200 payout.

TAM → SAM → SOM

Quantifying the addressable market with 2025 data.

TAM — Total Addressable Market
US Sports Betting Revenue
$16.96B

2025 revenue with 9.8% projected CAGR through 2030. YoY growth of 22.8%.

SAM — Serviceable Addressable Market
Frequent Bettors
$10.29B

30% of Americans placed a bet in the trailing 12 months. 48% of American males 18-49 have at least one sportsbook.

SOM — Serviceable Obtainable Market
Target Users
$38.73M ARR

0.5% capture rate of male 18-49 sportsbook users interested in winning & statistics.

🖼️
Market sizing detail chart
images/market-tam-sam-som.png

Gambling Giants & the Analytics Gap

Better Bettor occupies a unique position: B2C focus with low skill requirements and advanced models.

Vegas

Caesars Sportsbook
2025 Rev: $1.09B (+22.5% YoY)
Westgate SuperBook
Est. $1B+ revenue
Circa Sports
Est. $250-500M revenue

Online

FanDuel
2024 Rev: $4.01B (+30.6% YoY)
DraftKings
2024 Rev: $2.90B (+37.8% YoY)
BetMGM
2025 Rev: $2.80B (+33.3% YoY)

Prediction Markets

Kalshi
$11B valuation, $1B raised 2025
Polymarket
$8B valuation
Robinhood
2.5B contracts traded
🖼️
Competitive positioning matrix — Better Bettor in the B2C + Low Skill quadrant
images/competitive-positioning.png

Closest Competition

BetQL

Focus on line comparison and money flow information. Expert picks secondary to information presentation. Still more information than models.

Action Network

Closest comparison to Better Bettor. Models presented and graded, but primarily based on expert opinions — not large ML/AI models.

Fantasy Labs

Simulations, projections, and optimizers with a fantasy focus. Good tools, but primarily information-based. Pickboard is a solid product but buried in favor of information products.

Experience & Innovation

Leadership with a proven track record in analytics and finance.

👤
images/team-will-crouch.jpg

Will Crouch

Founder & CEO
Sports Analytics: Creating sports analytics models for over 10 years with a positive ROI. Deep understanding of statistical modeling, machine learning, and sports betting markets.
Finance & Analytics Leadership: 10+ years leading finance and analytics teams. Developed models and products with startups and billion-dollar projects.

Education

M.S. Applied & Computational Mathematics — Johns Hopkins University

MBA — Wake Forest University

Patents

US-20200219037-A1 · US-20230162110-A1 · US-20250342419-A1

Launch Marketing Strategy

Multi-channel approach targeting high-value customer segments.

Social Media

Reddit
r/sportsbetting, r/sportsanalytics — promotional and performance posts
Twitter / Threads / Bluesky
Highlight wins and variance, build community engagement
Substack
Performance analysis and deep dives, thought leadership
Facebook / WhatsApp
Primary gambling paid-ad targets, community building

Miami Launch

Guerilla Marketing
Posters in high-traffic areas, mural installations, street team activations
Events
AI & Finance meetups, entrepreneur networking, sports viewing parties
Miami Culture
Tech-friendly, risk-embracing, performance-driven mindset

Community

Wins Will Be Shared
Organic growth through user success stories and social proof
Performance Analysis
Regular deep dives on model performance, transparency builds trust
Retention Focus
Monthly performance reports, loyalty rewards, referral programs

Milestones & What's Next

Building the foundation for a $29.5M ARR business.

Completed
Core Model Development
Proprietary Elo and AI/ML models built and validated. First public bet placed by a third party — $3,200 payout.
Completed
MVP & Product Launch
Consumer-facing product live with spread and total points predictions. DraftKings integration for direct betting.
Next
Multi-Sport Expansion
Expand AI/ML models to cover NBA, NFL, and NCAA. Add additional data sources and improve model accuracy.
Future
Scale & Growth
Target 98,000+ users. Expand to additional sports and prediction market integrations. Build out referral and retention programs.

Investment Ask & Use of Funds

$500K to build the foundation for a $29.5M ARR business.

$500K
Raise via SAFE
Terms
Post-Money Valuation Cap: $5MM
Discount: 20%
MFN

Use of Funds

Model Development
$300K
60%
Infrastructure
$75K
15%
Overhead
$50K
10%
Marketing
$30K
6%
Website
$25K
5%
Data
$20K
4%

Detailed financial projections will be available soon.

What People Are Saying

Testimonials, press, and user stories — coming soon.

"Testimonial from a beta user or early adopter will go here."

"Press mention or media quote will go here."

"User success story or data point will go here."

"Industry expert endorsement or advisory quote will go here."

Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are your models?

Our AI/ML models are continuously trained on historical data, team metrics, and situational factors. We publish regular performance analyses so users can evaluate accuracy transparently.

Is sports betting legal in my state?

Sports betting legality varies by state. Better Bettor provides analytics and predictions — we are not a sportsbook. We recommend checking your local regulations before placing any bets.

What sports do you cover?

We're launching with college basketball (NCAA) and expanding to NBA and NFL. The All-Access Pass includes all current and future sports as they become available.

What's the difference between the free and premium models?

The free Elo model provides transparent, easy-to-understand predictions. The premium AI/ML model uses advanced machine learning for higher accuracy, including spread and total points predictions.

Can I cancel anytime?

Yes. Simple monthly subscription with no contracts, no hidden fees. Cancel anytime from your account settings.